One of the Few Ways to Make Money for the next Five Years

Any investor that thinks they will be able to fall back into their old investing habits and techniques in the market of the future is in for some very bad news. Our markets may never be the same when we recover from our current problems. Maybe that’s a good thing, but that’s for another article.

As things appear now, we are in for a prolonged period of sideways movement in the market. We could see a run to the psychological goal of 10,000, but it isn’t sustainable. There is neither the economic base nor the spending of the last decade to drive us to new highs or even back to our previous highs.

Making money over the next five to seven years will require learning new techniques and changing old beliefs about money and how to make it.  The good news is most of the techniques that will work during this period of no growth are some of the most predictable and most time proven available to investors.

Going forward if you aren’t able to adapt to the changes that are happening right now, you won’t make any money. The problem is we Americans like to have it our way and that is usually the familiar way. We aren’t big on change. That’s going to be really bad news for most investors.

There are great opportunities in this market right now. Great stocks are really cheap and the next group of “market made millionaires” is laying the foundation for their future success right now. The key now isn’t trading, day trading or even options, its patience, which none of us have when it comes to our money.

So why is a bond specialist talking about owning stock? Because you can’t own just bonds, and the strategy I will describe here is perfect for the type of person who likes the security and return of corporate bonds.

This is my favorite long term sideways market strategy, and one of the best strategies in almost any kind of market: covered call writing. It will require you learn a few new tricks, but it will make money and keep you in the market.  It will force you to give these tremendous stock opportunities time to work. Patience is the key to making money going forward.

It’s a simple process that starts with buying a rock solid company. Let’s use Merck as an example.  Currently it’s about $24.60 per share with a $1.52 dividend, or 6.2%. They are expected to earn $3.40 in 2010 so there is lots of money to pay the dividend. It is about $5 above its 52-week low, and about $15 below its 52 week high.

If all you do is buy the stock and watch it for several years you should make at least 6.2% per year just on the dividend. That’s about three times what you will make in a money market account and the growth potential is at least $10 to $15 per share.

Here’s how to really add a boost to your return while you’re waiting out this market. Sell a call against your position. Just call your broker and tell him you want to sell the January 27.50 call on Merck. It will pay you instantly $1.65 for every100 shares you own, for a whopping 6.7% just for giving someone the right to buy your shares from you at $27.50 by Jan 2010. Nice!

There are two possible outcomes for this play. The first one is if the stock price does not exceed $27.50 by the third Thursday of January, that’s when the option expires, you keep the stock, the premium of $1.65 and the two dividend payments due between now and January. That’s a total return of 3.15% for the dividend and 6.7% for the sale of the call for a total of 9.85% for doing nothing but waiting and owning a great company with huge potential in the future.

The second possibility, if the stock price exceeds $27.50 per share on or before the third Thursday in January your stock could be called, or purchased from you for $27.50. Here’s how your return looks in this case.

You keep the premium, the dividend and the difference between your purchase price and $27.50. So that’s about $.76 per share for the dividend, $1.65 per share for the sale of the option and about $2.90 for the sale of the stock at $27.50 if you paid $24.60.

$1.65 + $.76 + $2.90 = $5.31 divided by our cost of $24.60 for a return of 21.58% for making one phone call to your broker and saying “sell the Merck January 27.50 call.”

All of the transfer of money and stock and everything is done behind the scenes, you do nothing but collect the cash in your account. It’s almost like magic the way the money shows up. It is so easy and most people will not do it because it’s new and different and requires a little stretching beyond their comfort zone.

The real beauty is that this strategy forces you to stay with the stock at least until January 2010. The more time you give great holds like Merck in this market, the better your chances of making really big returns on the growth in the stock price. Staying the course over the next few years is how you will make money, not by trying to guess what the market is doing.

That’s how a dyed-in-the-wool bond guy makes money in stocks.

Covered call writing is one of the few ways you can wait out this market, build a great portfolio and still make very nice returns while the market moves sideways. As with all new things, it takes a few tries before it really begins to make sense and it will definitely be worth your effort.

Good luck!

Steve

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This post was written by:

Steve McDonald

Steve McDonald - who has written 44 investment articles on Investors Daily Edge.


Steve McDonald is a weekly contributor to Investor's Daily Edge. He is also editor of the red-hot Bond Trader - which has provided subscribers with substantial double-digit returns.... without stock market risk. Steve's first foray into "risk management" came at an early age, when he served as a pilot in the Navy. He served his country for eight years before beginning his career in the markets as a broker and analyst. Steve's specialties are bonds and fixed income investments. His career in the investment field has been dedicated to finding conservative investments for those who want to avoid the risks of the stock market, but still get the returns it offers.


7 Responses to “One of the Few Ways to Make Money for the next Five Years”

  1. Jeff Platenik says:

    Question…

    Is it 1.65 for every 100 or 1 share of stock, you are paid this prrmium for?

    If you are computing the dividend at 21.% I believe this is incorrect? You use 1.65 in your figures divided into a per share price?

    I could be incorrect, I have only had one cup of coffie!!

    Please advise.

    Thank you.

  2. Greg Jones says:

    Steve,
    In todays you value selling the call option as $1.65/share and also as $1.65/100 shares. Would you please clarify. Thanks.
    Greg

  3. Jim Allen says:

    I would ask the same question as above. Also, I would like to know how to find the calls you talk about on a particular stock. Are they listed somewhere. As you can tell, I am very new to the options market and don’t understand, for example, where you found the January call for Merck. I currently have an account with an online brokerage firm and have been approved for options.

    Jim

  4. John Patrick says:

    Steve,

    You recommended a bond from Internation Leasing in one of your previous articles. I plugged the Cusip # into the search engine at Scottrade and it came up blank. Could you please advise on exactly where to find this bond. I’m interested in purchasing some.

  5. HQUAN says:

    another possible outcome not mentioned is MRK falling out of bed for whatever reason, down to say 19, below its recent 52-week low while you are stuck til jan 2010. figure out the ‘loss’ on it from current levels, percentage wise. sure you can sell another call , say the jul 2010 20 strike, at say $2 ……..but you will be in a ‘long term’
    holding pattern and playing catch up.

  6. Panamabob says:

    It’s the likes of you that screw the curve by advising numbskulls too numb to figure out the obvious for themselves. Moreover, you’ll predictably leave them in a ditch somehwere along the line when your advice goes South for some foreseeable reason (like writing calls on stocks that tank, or on stocks that take off and leave the owner crying) and then you’ll say, oh! gee! I guess I didn’t mention how that part works, did I? For cry’in out loud, you look like a nice enough fella, why don’t you go out and get a real job!

  7. Davkt says:

    I have to agree with HQUAN and PANAMABOB. The only way to do covered calls is by using a collar(purchased put-deep in the money and a few months in the future). And the next thing a covered call is not a non-directional trade(I do not think there is such a thing as a non-directional trade). The decision a person has to make is which directional the stock is moving and sell the option that would decrease in value with the trend of the stock(stock going down sell the call and buy back as soon as trend changes-opposite for put). I have tried to determine a price range on a stock and sell both the call and the put and in the course of the month got my head handed to me. The thing about the option is it gives a person a little more time to make a trend switch because the option price in a lot of cases will not change as fast as the stock price. Ever have a covered call situation where the stock tanked and you wanted out and tried to buy back the sold call at a reasonable price? Those market makers sure know how to put it to a person. Also the DIM put purchased in a future month cannot have a lot of time value in it because that has to be recovered over the months that a person sells options against the set-up and be able to return a decent rate of return. I think there is some justification in lifting the hedged put if it has substantially increased in value and the person is comfortable with the risk of being long the stock only(this situation occurred on March 9 but who knew until a person could determine the trend had changed).

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